The Shift in Airline Distribution: Embracing NDC

The airline industry is undergoing a significant transformation with the adoption of New Distribution Capability (NDC). This IATA initiative allows airlines to distribute fares and ancillary services directly to sellers, bypassing traditional Global Distribution Systems (GDS). While NDC offers enhanced flexibility and personalization, it also introduces new challenges in competitive fare analysis.

The Pitfall of Relying Solely on GDS Data

Traditionally, airlines have depended on GDS data for competitive intelligence. However, as highlighted in the FareTrack article “You Don’t Know What You Don’t Know And That Can Hurt You” , this approach can lead to survivorship bias—focusing only on visible data while neglecting critical information from other channels. With NDC enabling direct distribution, a significant portion of fare data may not be captured through GDS alone, resulting in an incomplete market picture.

Scores & room price

(source: Faretrack.ai)



The above chart illustrates how GDS data only tells part of the story. Online channels are where the most competitive content resides.

Aggregate Intelligence’s VP Strategy Kris Glabinski says, “You don’t know, what you don’t know, and that can hurt you. Airlines need visibility across multiple channels, and they must analyze, gather and use data from those channels. This requires a re-think in how to approach competitive fare monitoring”

Aggregate Intelligence: Providing Comprehensive Data Solutions

To address these data challenges, Aggregate Intelligence offers advanced data intelligence solutions that aggregate fare data across multiple channels, including GDS, NDC, and direct distribution platforms. By providing a holistic view of the competitive landscape, Aggregate Intelligence empowers airlines to:

  • Enhance Pricing Strategies: Access to comprehensive data allows for more accurate and dynamic pricing decisions.
  • Optimize Revenue Management: A complete market view aids in identifying revenue opportunities and mitigating risks.
  • Improve Competitive Positioning: Understanding the full spectrum of market fares enables airlines to position themselves more effectively against competitors.

Avoiding Survivorship Bias in Competitive Analysis

The lesson from the survivorship bias analogy is clear: focusing only on visible data can lead to critical oversights. In the context of airline pricing, this means that relying solely on GDS data may cause airlines to miss out on vital competitive insights. By integrating Aggregate Intelligence’s comprehensive data solutions, airlines can ensure they are not operating with blind spots in their competitive analysis.

Final Takeaway: Comprehensive Data is Key to NDC Success

As airlines navigate the evolving landscape of NDC and direct distribution, the importance of comprehensive, multi-channel data cannot be overstated. Partnering with Aggregate Intelligence ensures that airlines have the critical insights needed to make informed decisions, optimize pricing strategies, and maintain a competitive edge in the market.

TL;DR:

Relying solely on traditional data sources like GDS can lead to survivorship bias, causing airlines to overlook crucial competitive fare data. To fully leverage NDC’s potential, airlines must incorporate comprehensive data intelligence solutions, such as those offered by Aggregate Intelligence, to gain a complete market view and make informed pricing decisions.